Island Press Field Notes

I admit it. In my heart of hearts, I'm hoping for the best. Those scenarios of climate change we see splashed across the newspapers and magazines include a wide range of possibilities, and I keep my fingers crossed that we'll end up closer to the best case. But just three weeks ago the best case got a lot worse. A group of climate scientists meeting in Copenhagen announced that sea level very likely is going to rise almost twice as much as we thought.

When you’re in the middle of a forest fire, trees exploding all around you, smoke burning your lungs, and fireballs dropping from the sky, it’s hard to think about much except getting out of there alive.  That’s kind of where we are with thinking about global warming nowadays—the direct impacts on people.  How many lose their homes when sea level rises?  What new diseases are going to make their way out of the tropics?  How many dollars will it take to cut carbon emissions?

"The year 2008 marked the first time in history that a majority of the world's people lives in cities-a percentage projected to rise to 70 percent by 2050" begins the Rockefeller Foundation publication distributed at the Re-imagining Cities: Urban Design After the Age of Oil conference, sponsored last week at the University of Pennsylvania School of Design.